PD Dr. habil Jochen Hinkel

Head: Adaptation and Social Learning

tel +49 30-2060738-20
fax +49 30-2060738-33

Global Climate Forum e.V.
Neue Promenade 6
10178 Berlin, Germany

Short profile

Jochen Hinkel is an institutional economist, heading the department of Adaptation and Social Learning at the Global Climate Forum (GCF) and teaching as an external professor (Privatdozent) at the Division of Resource Economics at the Thaer-Institute at Humboldt University in Berlin. His research focuses on decision making, policy making and governance in face of climate risks and associated societal transformations from the following two complementary perspectives:

From a prescriptive or normative perspective, he applies economic, robust and financial decision theory, together with state-of-the-art climate impact models, in order to co-develop, together with stakeholders, desirable, efficient and robust adaptation strategies. This operates at all scales, from local city-level case studies (e.g., German Baltic Sea Cities) to continental (e.g., Europe) and global scale analysis (e.g., PROTECT project, Global Coastal Model Intercomparison Project). In this context, Hinkel leads the development of the DIVA model, an integrated global model for assessing sea-level rise impacts and adaptation related to coastal erosion, flooding, wetland change and human displacement, which has been applied widely for economic assessments of sea-level rise.

From a descriptive and explanatory perspective, he applies frameworks of institutional economics and political sciences in in-depth local case studies in order to gain a deep understanding of current formal and informal adaptation governance arrangements, as well as the drivers of institutional and policy change and performance. Current research covers the governance of coastal adaptation in Germany, in the Maldives and in nature-based solution around Europe. A special focus thereby lies on adaptation funding and finance, in particular on the extent to which it is possible to foster investment in adaptation projects and equitable outcomes through fit-for-purpose blended finance arrangements.
Hinkel has contributed as a Lead Author on coastal risk, adaptation and governance to the last two Assessment Reports of the Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change (IPCC) and currently co-leads work on coastal decision making in the United Nation’s World Climate Research Programme (WCRP).

See full CV here


The interview with Jochen Hinkel on Economic Motivation for Raising Caostal Flood Defenses in Europe is accessible here

Jochen Hinkel’s presentation on Die Folgen und die Risken für den Menschen: Mit Fokus auf den Meeresspiegelanstieg is accessible here

Current projects and research activities:

CoCliCo – Coastal Climate Core Service

CONMAR – Governance and management of marine munition in the German North and Baltic Sea

CREATE – Concepts for reducing the impacts of anthropogenic pressures and uses on marine ecosystems and biodiversity

CULTURES – Cultures of coastal adaptation

DECIPHER – DECIsion-making framework and Processes for Holistic Evaluation of enviRonmental and climate policies

DIVA – The DIVA modelling framework

ECAS-Baltic – Ecosystem-supporting Coastal Adaptation Strategies for the German Baltic Sea Coast

PROTECT – PROjecTing sEa-level rise: from iCe sheets to local implicaTions

REST-COAST – Large scale RESToration of COASTal ecosystems through rivers to sea connectivity

SEASCApe Baltic II – SEA-level rise, Storm surges, and Coastal Adaptation at the German Baltic Sea coast

Completed projects:

ClimVar – Integration of climate variability and change into national strategies for the implementation of the ICZM Protocol in the Mediterranean

COACCH – CO-designing the Assessment of Climate CHange costs

GREEN-WIN – Green growth and win-win strategies for sustainable climate action

Impact2C – Quantifying projected impacts under 2°C of warming

INSeaPTION – INtegrating SEA-level Projections in climate services for coastal adaptation

ISIpedia – Inter-sectoral impacts encyclopedia

MEDIATION – Methodology for effective decision making on impacts and adaptation

PROVIA – Programme of Research on Climate Change Vulnerability, Impacts and Adaptation

RISES -AM- Responses to coastal climate change: Innovative Strategies for high End Scenarios -Adaptation and Mitigation-

SEASCApe Baltic – SEA-level rise, Storm surges, and Coastal Adaptation at the German Baltic Sea coast

Publications 2008 – 2021

Google Scholar (11 November 2021): Number of citations: 16520, h-index: 53

Amores, A., M. Marcos, R. Pedreros, G. Le Cozannet, S. Lecacheux, J. Rohmer, J. Hinkel, G. Gussmann, T. van der Pol, A. Shareef, and Z. Khaleel (2021). Coastal Flooding in the Maldives Induced by Mean Sea-Level Rise and Wind-Waves: From Global to Local Coastal Modelling. In: Frontiers in Marine Science 8. doi: 10.3389/fmars.2021.665672.

Gussmann, G. and J. Hinkel (2021). A Framework for Assessing the Potential Effectiveness of Adaptation Policies: Coastal Risks and Sea-Level Rise in the Maldives. In: Environmental Science & Policy 115, pp. 35-42. doi: 10.1016/j.envsci.2020.09.028.

Hinkel, J., L. Feyen, M. Hemer, G. Cozannet, D Lincke, M. Marcos, L. Mentaschi, J. L. Merkens, H. Moel, S. Muis, R. J. Nicholls, A. T. Vafeidis, R. S. W.Wal, M. I. Vousdoukas, T.Wahl, P. J. Ward, and C. Wol  (2021). Uncertainty and Bias in Global to Regional Scale Assessments of Current and Future Coastal Flood Risk. In: Earth’s Future. doi: 10.1029/2020EF001882.

Kok, S., A. Bisaro, M. de Bel, J. Hinkel, and L. M. Bouwer (2021). The Potential of Nature- Based Flood Defences to Leverage Public Investment in Coastal Adaptation: Cases from the Netherlands, Indonesia and Georgia. In: Ecological Economics 179, p. 106828. doi: 10.1016/ j.ecolecon.2020.106828.

Lincke, D. and J. Hinkel (2021). Coastal Migration Due to 21st Century Sea-Level Rise. In: Earth’s Future 9.5. doi: 10.1029/2020EF001965.

Mandel, A., T. Tiggeloven, D. Lincke, E. Koks, P.Ward, and J. Hinkel (2021). Risks on Global Financial Stability Induced by Climate Change: The Case of Flood Risks. In: Climatic Change 166.1, p. 4. doi: 10.1007/s10584-021-03092-2.

Nicholls, R. J., S. E. Hanson, J. A. Lowe, A. B. A. Slangen, T. Wahl, J. Hinkel, and A. J. Long (2021a). Integrating New Sea-level Scenarios into Coastal Risk and Adaptation Assessments: An Ongoing  Process. In: WIREs Climate Change 12.3. doi: 10.1002/wcc.706.

Nicholls, R. J., D. Lincke, J. Hinkel, S. Brown, A. T. Vafeidis, B. Meyssignac, S. E. Hanson, J.-L. Merkens, and J. Fang (2021b). A Global Analysis of Subsidence, Relative Sea-Level Change and Coastal Flood Exposure. In: Nature Climate Change. doi: 10.1038/s41558- 021-00993-z.

Rohmer, J., D. Lincke, J. Hinkel, G. Le Cozannet, E. Lambert, and A. T. Vafeidis (2021). Unravelling the Importance of Uncertainties in Global-Scale Coastal Flood Risk Assessments under Sea Level Rise. In: Water 13.6 (6), p. 774. doi: 10.3390/w13060774.

Van der Pol, T., J. Hinkel, J. Merkens, L. MacPherson, A. T. Vafeidis, A. Arns, and S. Dangendorf (2021). Regional Economic Analysis of Flood Defence Heights at the German Baltic Sea Coast: A Multi-Method Cost-Benefit Approach for Flood Prevention. In: Climate Risk Management 32, p. 100289. doi: 10.1016/j.crm.2021.100289.

Bisaro, A., M. de Bel, J. Hinkel, S. Kok, T. Stojanovic, and D. Ware (2020). Multilevel Governance of Coastal Flood Risk Reduction: A Public Finance Perspective. In: Environmental Science & Policy 112, pp. 203-212. doi: 10.1016/j.envsci.2020.05.018.

Fang, J., D. Lincke, S. Brown, R. J. Nicholls, C. Wol , J.-L. Merkens, J. Hinkel, A. T. Vafeidis, P. Shi, and M. Liu (2020). Coastal Flood Risks in China through the 21st Century – An Application of DIVA. In: Science of The Total Environment 704, p. 135311. doi: 10.1016/ j.scitotenv.2019.135311.

Ginkel, K. C. H. van, W. J. W. Botzen, M. Haasnoot, G. Bachner, K. W. Steininger, J. Hinkel, P. Watkiss, E. Boere, A. Jeuken, E. S. de Murieta, and F. Bosello (2020). Climate Change Induced Socio-Economic Tipping Points: Review and Stakeholder Consultation for Policy Relevant Research. In: Environmental Research Letters 15.2, p. 023001. doi: 10.1088/1748- 9326/ab6395.

Gussmann, G. and J. Hinkel (2020). What Drives Relocation Policies in the Maldives? In: Climatic Change, pp. 1-21. doi: 10.1007/s10584-020-02919-8.

Hinkel, J., D. Mangalagiu, A. Bisaro, and J. D. T abara (2020). Transformative Narratives for Climate Action. In: Climatic Change 160.4, pp. 495-506. doi: 10.1007/s10584-020-02761- y.

Hinkel, J. and R. Nicholls (2020). Responding to Sea-Level Rise. In: The Bridge, National Academy of Engineering 50.1.

Kirezci, E., I. R. Young, R. Ranasinghe, S. Muis, R. J. Nicholls, D. Lincke, and J. Hinkel (2020). Projections of Global-Scale Extreme Sea Levels and Resulting Episodic Coastal Flooding over the 21st Century. In: Scientific Reports 10.1, p. 11629. doi: 10.1038/s41598-020-67736-6.

Lincke, D., C. Wol , J. Hinkel, A. Vafeidis, L. Blickensdorfer, and D. Povh Skugor (2020). The Effectiveness of Setback Zones for Adapting to Sea-Level Rise in Croatia. In: Regional Environmental Change 20.2, p. 46. doi: 10.1007/s10113-020-01628-3.

López-Dóriga, U., J. A. Jiménez, A. Bisaro, and J. Hinkel (2020). Financing and Implementation of Adaptation Measures to Climate Change along the Spanish Coast. In: Science of The Total Environment 712, p. 135685. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.135685.

Meissner, F., A. Haas, J. Hinkel, and A. Bisaro (2020). A Typology for Analysing Mitigation and Adaptation Win-Win Strategies. In: Climatic Change 160.4, pp. 539-564. doi: 10.1007/ s10584-020-02681-x.

Parrado, R., F. Bosello, E. Delpiazzo, J. Hinkel, D. Lincke, and S. Brown (2020). Fiscal E ects and the Potential Implications on Economic Growth of Sea-Level Rise Impacts and Coastal Zone Protection. In: Climatic Change. doi: 10.1007/s10584-020-02664-y.

Schinko, T., L. Drouet, Z. Vrontisi, A. Hof, J. Hinkel, J. Mochizuki, V. Bosetti, K. Fragkiadakis, D. van Vuuren, and D. Lincke (2020). Economy-Wide E ects of Coastal Flooding Due to Sea Level Rise: A Multi-Model Simultaneous Treatment of Mitigation, Adaptation, and Residual Impacts. In: Environmental Research Communications 2.1, p. 015002. doi: 10.1088/2515- 7620/ab6368.

Vousdoukas, M. I., L. Mentaschi, J. Hinkel, P. J. Ward, I. Mongelli, J.-C. Ciscar, and L. Feyen (2020b). Economic Motivation for Raising Coastal Flood Defenses in Europe. In: Nature Communications 11.1 (1), pp. 1-11. doi: 10.1038/s41467-020-15665-3.

Wol , C., T. Nikoletopoulos, J. Hinkel, and A. T. Vafeidis (2020). Future Urban Development Exacerbates Coastal Exposure in the Mediterranean. In: Scientific Reports 10.1, p. 14420. doi: 10.1038/s41598-020-70928-9.

Bisaro, A., M. de Bel, J. Hinkel, S. Kok, and L. M. Bouwer (2019). Leveraging Public Adaptation Finance through Urban Land Reclamation: Cases from Germany, the Netherlands and the Maldives. In: Climatic Change. doi: 10.1007/s10584-019-02507-5.

Brown, S., R. J. Nicholls, A. K. Pardaens, J. A. Lowe, R. S. Tol, A. T. Vafeidis, and J. Hinkel (2019a). Benefits of Climate-Change Mitigation for Reducing the Impacts of Sea-Level Rise in G-20 Countries. In: Journal of Coastal Research 35.4, p. 884. doi: 10.2112/JCOASTRES- D-16-00185.1.

Brown, S., M. P. Wadey, R. J. Nicholls, A. Shareef, Z. Khaleel, J. Hinkel, D. Lincke, and M. V. McCabe (2019b). Land Raising as a Solution to Sea-Level Rise: An Analysis of Coastal Flooding on an Artificial Island in the Maldives. In: Journal of Flood Risk Management 0.0, e12567. doi: 10.1111/jfr3.12567.

Hinkel, J., J. A. Church, J. M. Gregory, E. Lambert, G. Le Cozannet, J. Lowe, K. L. McInnes, R. J. Nicholls, T. D. Pol, and R. Wal (2019). Meeting User Needs for Sea Level Rise Information: A Decision Analysis Perspective. In: Earth’s Future. doi: 10.1029/2018EF001071.

Paroussos, L., A. Mandel, K. Fragkiadakis, P. Fragkos, J. Hinkel, and Z. Vrontisi (2019). Climate Clubs and the Macro-Economic Benefits of International Cooperation on Climate Policy. In: Nature Climate Change. doi: 10.1038/s41558-019-0501-1.

Stammer, D., R. S. W. van deWal, R. J. Nicholls, J. A. Church, G. L. Cozannet, J. A. Lowe, B. P. Horton, K. White, D. Behar, and J. Hinkel (2019). Framework for High-End Estimates of Sea Level Rise for Stakeholder Applications. In: Earth’s Future 0.0. doi: 10.1029/2019EF001163.

Vafeidis, A. T., M. Schuerch, C.Wol , T. Spencer, J. L. Merkens, J. Hinkel, D. Lincke, S. Brown, and R. J. Nicholls (2019). Water-Level Attenuation in Global-Scale Assessments of Exposure to Coastal Flooding: A Sensitivity Analysis. In: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 19.5, pp. 973-984. doi: 10.5194/nhess-19-973-2019.

Van der Pol, T. D. and J. Hinkel (2019). Uncertainty Representations of Mean Sea-Level Change: A Telephone Game? In: Climatic Change. doi: 10.1007/s10584-018-2359-z.

Bisaro, A. and J. Hinkel (2018). Mobilizing Private Finance for Coastal Adaptation: A Literature Review. In: Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change 9.3, pp. 1-15. doi: 10.1002/ wcc.514.

Brown, S., R. J. Nicholls, P. Goodwin, I. D. Haigh, D. Lincke, A. T. Vafeidis, and J. Hinkel (2018). Quantifying Land and People Exposed to Sea-Level Rise with No Mitigation and 1.5°C and 2.0°C Rise in Global Temperatures to Year 2300. In: Earth’s Future. doi: 10. 1002/2017EF000738.

Gattuso, J.-P., A. K. Magnan, L. Bopp, W. W. L. Cheung, C. M. Duarte, J. Hinkel, E. Mcleod, F. Micheli, A. Oschlies, P. Williamson, R. Bill e, V. I. Chalastani, R. D. Gates, J.-O. Irisson, J. J. Middelburg, H.-O. Portner, and G. H. Rau (2018). Ocean Solutions to Address Climate Change and Its E ects on Marine Ecosystems. In: Frontiers in Marine Science 5. doi: 10. 3389/fmars.2018.00337.

Hinkel, J., J. C. J. H. Aerts, S. Brown, J. A. Jim enez, D. Lincke, R. J. Nicholls, P. Scussolini, A. Sanchez-Arcilla, A. Vafeidis, and K. A. Addo (2018). The Ability of Societies to Adapt to Twenty-First-Century Sea-Level Rise. In: Nature Climate Change 8.7, pp. 570-578. doi: 10.1038/s41558-018-0176-z.

Lincke, D. and J. Hinkel (2018). Economically Robust Protection against 21st Century Sea-Level Rise. In: Global Environmental Change 51, pp. 67-73. doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2018. 05.003.

Merkens, J.-L., D. Lincke, J. Hinkel, S. Brown, and A. T. Vafeidis (2018). Regionalisation of Population Growth Projections in Coastal Exposure Analysis. In: Climatic Change. doi: 10.1007/s10584-018-2334-8.

Nicholls, R. J., S. Brown, P. Goodwin, T.Wahl, J. Lowe, M. Solan, J. A. Godbold, I. D. Haigh, D. Lincke, J. Hinkel, C. Wol , and J.-L. Merkens (2018). Stabilization of Global Temperature at 1.5°C and 2.0°C: Implications for Coastal Areas. In: Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences 376.2119, p. 20160448. doi: 10.1098/rsta.2016.0448.

Reimann, L., A. T. Vafeidis, S. Brown, J. Hinkel, and R. S. J. Tol (2018). Mediterranean UNESCO World Heritage at Risk from Coastal Flooding and Erosion Due to Sea-Level Rise. In: Nature Communications 9.1, p. 4161. doi: 10.1038/s41467-018-06645-9.

Roggero, M., S. Villamayor-Tomas, C. Oberlack, K. Eisenack, A. Bisaro, J. Hinkel, and A. Thiel (2018). Introduction to the Special Issue on Adapting Institutions to Climate Change. In: Journal of Institutional Economics, pp. 1-14. doi: 10.1017/S1744137417000649.

Schuerch, M., T. Spencer, S. Temmerman, M. L. Kirwan, C. Wol , D. Lincke, C. J. McOwen, M. D. Pickering, R. Reef, A. T. Vafeidis, J. Hinkel, R. J. Nicholls, and S. Brown (2018). Future Response of Global Coastal Wetlands to Sea-Level Rise. In: Nature 561.7722, pp. 231-234. doi: 10.1038/s41586-018-0476-5.

Wol , C., A. T. Vafeidis, S. Muis, D. Lincke, A. Satta, P. Lionello, J. A. Jimenez, D. Conte, and J. Hinkel (2018). A Mediterranean Coastal Database for Assessing the Impacts of Sea-Level Rise and Associated Hazards. In: Scientific Data 5, p. 180044. doi: 10.1038/sdata.2018.44.

Duvat, V. K., A. K. Magnan, R. M. Wise, J. E. Hay, I. Fazey, J. Hinkel, T. Stojanovic, H. Yamano, and V. Ballu (2017). Trajectories of Exposure and Vulnerability of Small Islands to Climate Change: Small Islands and Climate Change. In: Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, e478. doi: 10.1002/wcc.478.

Fang, J., W. Liu, S. Yang, S. Brown, R. J. Nicholls, J. Hinkel, X. Shi, and P. Shi (2017). Spatial- Temporal Changes of Coastal and Marine Disasters Risks and Impacts in Mainland China. In: Ocean & Coastal Management 139, pp. 125-140. doi: 10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2017.02.003.

Frieler, K., S. Lange, F. Piontek, C. P. O. Reyer, J. Schewe, L. Warszawski, F. Zhao, L. Chini, S. Denvil, K. Emanuel, T. Geiger, K. Halladay, G. Hurtt, M. Mengel, D. Murakami, S. Ostberg, A. Popp, R. Riva, M. Stevanovic, T. Suzuki, et al. (2017). Assessing the Impacts of 1.5 °C Global Warming – Simulation Protocol of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison 8 Project (ISIMIP2b). In: Geosci. Model Dev. 10.12, pp. 4321-4345. doi: 10.5194/gmd-10- 4321-2017.

Le Cozannet, G., R. J. Nicholls, J. Hinkel, W. V. Sweet, K. L. McInnes, R. S. W. Van de Wal, A. B. A. Slangen, J. A. Lowe, and K. D. White (2017). Sea Level Change and Coastal Climate Services: The Way Forward. In: Journal of Marine Science and Engineering 5.4, p. 49. doi: 10.3390/jmse5040049.

Muis, S., M. Verlaan, R. J. Nicholls, S. Brown, J. Hinkel, D. Lincke, A. T. Vafeidis, P. Scussolini, H. C. Winsemius, and P. J. Ward (2017). A Comparison of Two Global Datasets of Extreme Sea Levels and Resulting Flood Exposure. In: Earth’s Future, 2016EF000430. doi: 10.1002/ 2016EF000430.

Wahl, T., I. D. Haigh, R. J. Nicholls, A. Arns, S. Dangendorf, J. Hinkel, and A. B. A. Slangen (2017). Understanding Extreme Sea Levels for Broad-Scale Coastal Impact and Adaptation Analysis. In: Nature Communications 8, ncomms16075. doi: 10.1038/ncomms16075.

Arnell, N. W., S. Brown, S. Gosling, J. Hinkel, C. Huntingford, B. Lloyd-Hughes, J. Lowe, T. Osborn, R. J. Nicholls, and P. Zelazowski (2016). Global-Scale Climate Impact Functions: The Relationship between Climate Forcing and Impact. In: Climatic Change 134.3, pp. 475-487. doi: 10.1007/s10584-013-1034-7.

Bisaro, A. and J. Hinkel (2016). Governance of Social Dilemmas in Climate Change Adaptation. In: Nature Climate Change 6.4, pp. 354-359. doi: 10.1038/nclimate2936.

Brown, S., R. J. Nicholls, J. A. Lowe, and J. Hinkel (2016). Spatial Variations of Sea-Level Rise and Impacts: An Application of DIVA. In: Climatic Change 134.3, pp. 403-416. doi: 10.1007/s10584-013-0925-y.

Hinkel, J. and A. Bisaro (2016). Methodological Choices in Solution-Oriented Adaptation Research: A Diagnostic Framework. In: Regional Environmental Change 16.1, pp. 7-20. doi: 10.1007/s10113-014-0682-0.

Hinkel, J., A. Bisaro, and R. Swart (2016). Towards a Diagnostic Adaptation Science. In: Regional Environmental Change 16.1, pp. 1-5. doi: 10.1007/s10113-015-0850-x.

Koerth, J., A. T. Vafeidis, and J. Hinkel (2016). Household-Level Coastal Adaptation and Its Drivers: A Systematic Case Study Review. In: Risk Analysis, n/a-n/a. doi: 10.1111/risa. 12663.

Mcleod, E., B. Szuster, J. Hinkel, E. L. Tompkins, N. Marshall, T. Downing, S.Wongbusarakum, A. Patwardhan, M. Hamza, C. Anderson, S. Bharwani, L. Hansen, and P. Rubino  (2016). Conservation Organizations Need to Consider Adaptive Capacity: Why Local Input Matters. In: Conservation Letters 9.5, pp. 351-360. doi: 10.1111/conl.12210.

Merkens, J.-L., L. Reimann, J. Hinkel, and A. T. Vafeidis (2016). Gridded Population Projections for the Coastal Zone under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. In: Global and Planetary Change 145, pp. 57-66. doi: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2016.08.009.

Spencer, T., M. Schuerch, R. J. Nicholls, J. Hinkel, D. Lincke, A. T. Vafeidis, R. Reef, L. McFadden, and S. Brown (2016). Global Coastal Wetland Change under Sea-Level Rise and Related Stresses: The DIVA Wetland Change Model. In: Global and Planetary Change 139, pp. 15-30. doi: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2015.12.018.

Thiel, A., C. Schleyer, J. Hinkel, M. Schluter, K. Hagedorn, S. Bisaro, I. Bobojonov, and A. Hamidov (2016). Transferring Williamson’s Discriminating Alignment to the Analysis of Environmental Governance of Social-Ecological Interdependence. In: Ecological Economics 128, pp. 159-168. doi: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2016.04.018.

Tol, R. S. J., R. J. Nicholls, S. Brown, J. Hinkel, A. T. Vafeidis, T. Spencer, and M. Schuerch (2016). Comment on `The Global Impacts of Extreme Sea-Level Rise: A Comprehensive Economic Assessment’. In: Environmental and Resource Economics, pp. 1-4. doi: 10.1007/ s10640-015-9993-y.

Wolf, C., A. T. Vafeidis, D. Lincke, C. Marasmi, and J. Hinkel (2016). E ects of Scale and Input Data on Assessing the Future Impacts of Coastal Flooding: An Application of DIVA for the Emilia-Romagna Coast. In: Frontiers in Marine Science, p. 41. doi: 10.3389/fmars.2016. 00041.

Bisaro, A., J. Hinkel, and R. Swart (2015). Frontiers of Solution-Oriented Adaptation Research. In: Regional Environmental Change 16.1, pp. 123-136. doi: 10.1007/s10113-015-0766-5.

Hinkel, J., M. Cox, M. Schluter, C. Binder, and T. Falk (2015a). A Diagnostic Procedure for Applying the Social-Ecological Systems Framework in Diverse Cases. In: Ecology and Society 20.1. doi: 10.5751/ES-07023-200132.

Hinkel, J., C. C. Jaeger, R. J. Nicholls, J. Lowe, O. Renn, and S. Peijun (2015b). Sea-Level Rise Scenarios and Coastal Risk Management. In: Nature Climate Change 5, pp. 188-190. doi: 10.1038/nclimate2505.

Tuckett, D., A. Mandel, D. Mangalagiu, A. Abramson, J. Hinkel, K. Katsikopoulos, A. Kirman, T. Malleret, I. Mozetic, P. Ormerod, R. E. Smith, T. Venturini, and A. Wilkinson (2015). Uncertainty, Decision Science, and Policy Making: A Manifesto for a Research Agenda. In: Critical Review, pp. 1-30. doi: 10.1080/08913811.2015.1037078.

Arnell, N. W., S. Brown, S. N. Gosling, P. Gottschalk, J. Hinkel, C. Huntingford, B. Lloyd- Hughes, J. A. Lowe, R. J. Nicholls, T. J. Osborn, T. M. Osborne, G. A. Rose, P. Smith, T. R. Wheeler, and P. Zelazowski (2014a). The Impacts of Climate Change across the Globe: A Multi-Sectoral Assessment. In: Climatic Change 134.3, pp. 457-474. doi: 10.1007/s10584- 014-1281-2.

Arnell, N. W., S. Brown, S. N. Gosling, J. Hinkel, C. Huntingford, B. Lloyd-Hughes, J. A. Lowe, T. Osborn, R. J. Nicholls, and P. Zelazowski (2014b). Global-Scale Climate Impact Functions: The Relationship between Climate Forcing and Impact. In: Climatic Change 134.3, pp. 475- 487. doi: 10.1007/s10584-013-1034-7.

Brown, S., R. J. Nicholls, S. Hanson, G. Brundrit, J. A. Dearing, M. E. Dickson, S. L. Gallop, S. Gao, I. D. Haigh, J. Hinkel, and e. al. (2014). Shifting Perspectives on Coastal Impacts and Adaptation. In: Nature Climate Change 4.9, pp. 752-755. doi: 10.1038/nclimate2344.

Hinkel, J. and A. Bisaro (2014). A Review and Classi cation of Methods for Climate Change Adaptation. In: WIREs Climate Change 6.2, pp. 171-188. doi: 10.1002/wcc.322.

Hinkel, J., P. Bots, and M. Schluter (2014a). Enhancing the Ostrom Social-Ecological System Framework through Formalization. In: Ecology and Society 19.3. doi: 10.5751/ES-06475- 190351.

Hinkel, J., D. Lincke, A. T. Vafeidis, M. Perrette, R. J. Nicholls, R. S. J. Tol, B. Marzeion, X. Fettweis, C. Ionescu, and A. Levermann (2014b). Coastal Flood Damage and Adaptation Cost under 21st Century Sea-Level Rise. In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 111.9, pp. 3292-3297. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1222469111.

Schluter, M., J. Hinkel, P. Bots, and R. Arlinghaus (2014). Application of the Ostrom (2009) Framework for Model-Based Analysis of the Dynamics of Social-Ecological Systems. In: Ecology and Society 19.1. doi: 10.5751/ES-05782-190136.

Tonmoy, F. N., A. El-Zein, and J. Hinkel (2014). Assessment of Vulnerability to Climate Change Using Indicators: A Meta-Analysis of the Literature. In: WIREs Climate Change 5.6, pp. 775-792. doi: 10.1002/wcc.314.

Arnell, N. W., J. A. Lowe, S. Brown, S. N. Gosling, P. Gottschalk, J. Hinkel, B. Lloyd-Hughes, R. J. Nicholls, T. J. Osborn, T. M. Osborne, G. A. Rose, P. Smith, and R. F. Warren (2013). A Global Assessment of the Effects of Climate Policy on the Impacts of Climate Change. In: Nature Climate Change 3, pp. 512-519. doi: 10.1038/nclimate1793.

Binder, C. R., J. Hinkel, C. Pahl-Wostl, and P. Bots (2013). Comparison of Frameworks for Analysing Social-Ecological Systems. In: Ecology and Society 18.4, p. 26. doi: 10.5751/ES- 05551-180426.

Hinkel, J., R. J. Nicholls, R. S. J. Tol, Z. B. Wang, J. M. Hamilton, G. Boot, A. T. Vafeidis, L. McFadden, A. Ganopolski, and R. J. T. Klein (2013b). A Global Analysis of Erosion of Sandy Beaches and Sea-Level Rise: An Application of DIVA. In: Global and Planetary Change 111 (Supplement C), pp. 150-158. doi: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2013.09.002.

Hinkel, J., D. P. van Vuuren, R. J. Nicholls, and R. J. T. Klein (2013c). The E ects of Mitigation and Adaptation on Coastal Impacts in the 21st Century. In: Climatic Change 117, pp. 783-794. doi: 10.1007/s10584-012-0564-8.

Koerth, J., A. T. Vafeidis, J. Hinkel, and H. Sterr (2013). What Motivates Coastal Households to Adapt Pro-Actively to Sea-Level Rise and Increasing Flood Risk? In: Regional Environmental Change 13.4, pp. 897-909. doi: 10.1007/s10113-012-0399-x.

Wolf, S., J. Hinkel, C. Ionescu, M. Hofman, S. Bisaro, D. Linke, and R. J. T. Klein (2013). Clarifying Vulnerability De nitions and Assessments Using Formalisation. In: International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management 5.1, pp. 54-70. doi: 10.1108 / 17568691311299363.

Hinkel, J., S. Brown, L. Exner, R. J. Nicholls, A. T. Vafeidis, and A. S. Kebede (2012). Sea- Level Rise Impacts on Africa and the Effects of Mitigation and Adaptation: An Application of DIVA. In: Regional Environmental Change 12, pp. 207-224. doi: 10.1007/s10113-011- 0249-2.

Hinkel, J. (2011b). Indicators of Vulnerability and Adaptive Capacity: Towards a Clarification of the Science – Policy Interface. In: Global Environmental Change 21.1, pp. 198-208. doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2010.08.002.

Hofmann, M., J. Hinkel, and M. Wrobel (2011). Classifying Knowledge on Climate Change Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability in Europe for Informing Adaptation Research and Decision-Making: A Conceptual Meta-Analysis. In: Global Environmental Change 21, pp. 1106-1116. doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.03.011.

Lass, W., A. Haas, J. Hinkel, and C. Jaeger (2011). Avoiding the Avoidable: Towards a European Heat Waves Risk Governance. In: International Journal of Disaster Risk Science 2.1, pp. 1-14. doi: 10.1007/s13753-011-0001-z.

Nicholls, R. J., N. Marinova, J. A. Lowe, S. Brown, P. Vellinga, D. de Gusmao, J. Hinkel, and R. S. J. Tol (2011b). Sea-Level Rise and Its Possible Impacts given a “beyond 4 Degree World” in the 21st Century. In: Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society 369, pp. 161-181. doi: 10.1098/rsta.2010.029.

Van Vuuren, D. P., M. Isaac, Z. W. Kundzewicz, N. Arnell, T. Barker, P. Criqui, F. Berkhout, H. Hilderink, J. Hinkel, A. Hof, A. Kitous, T. Kram, R. Mechler, and S. Scrieciu (2011). The Use of Scenarios as the Basis for Combined Assessment of Climate Change Mitigation and Adaptation. In: Global Environmental Change 21, pp. 575-591. doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha. 2010.11.003.

Bisaro, A., J. Hinkel, and N. Kranz (2010a). Multilevel Water, Biodiversity and Climate Adaptation Governance: Evaluating Adaptive Management in Lesotho. In: Environmental Science and Policy 13.7, pp. 637-647. doi: 10.1016/j.envsci.2010.08.004.

Bisaro, A., S. Wolf, and J. Hinkel (2010b). Framing Climate Vulnerability and Adaptation at Multiple Levels: Addressing Climate Risks or Institutional Barriers in Lesotho. In: Climate and Development 2.2, pp. 161-175. doi: 10.3763/cdev.2010.0037.

Hinkel, J., R. J. Nicholls, A. Vafeidis, R. S. J. Tol, and T. Avagianou (2010). Assessing Risk of and Adaptation to Sea-Level Rise in the European Union: An Application of DIVA. In: Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change 5.7, pp. 1-17. doi: 10.1007/s11027- 010-9237-y.

Kranz, N., T. Menniken, and J. Hinkel (2010). Climate Change Adaptation Strategies in the Mekong and Orange-Senqu Basins: What Determines the State-of-Play? In: Environmental Science and Policy 13.7, pp. 648-659. doi: 10.1016/j.envsci.2010.09.003.

Mcleod, E., J. Hinkel, A. T. Vafeidis, R. J. Nicholls, N. Harvey, and R. Salm (2010a). Sea- Level Rise Vulnerability in the Countries of the Coral Triangle. In: Sustainability Science 5.2, pp. 207-222. doi: 10.1007/s11625-010-0105-1.

Mcleod, E., B. Poulter, J. Hinkel, E. Reyes, and R. Salm (2010b). Sea-Level Rise Impact Models and Environmental Conservation: A Review of Models and Their Applications. In: Ocean & Coastal Management 53, pp. 507-517. doi: 10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2010.06.009.

Miller, F., H. Osbahr, E. Boyd, F. Thomalla, S. Bharwani, G. Ziervogel, B. Walker, J. Birkmann, S. van der Leeuw, J. Rockstrom, J. Hinkel, T. Downing, C. Folke, and D. R. Nelson (2010). Resilience and Vulnerability: Complementary or Con icting Concepts? In: Ecology and Society 15.3.

Hinkel, J. (2009). PIAM: A Modular Approach to Integrated Assessment Modelling. In: Environmental Modelling and Software 24, pp. 739-748. doi: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2008.11.005.

Hinkel, J. and R. J. T. Klein (2009). Integrating Knowledge to Assess Coastal Vulnerability to Sea-Level Rise: The Development of the DIVA Tool. In: Global Environmental Change 19.3, pp. 384-395. doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2009.03.002.

Ionescu, C., R. J. T. Klein, J. Hinkel, K. S. K. Kumar, and R. Klein (2009). Towards a Formal Framework of Vulnerability to Climate Change. In: Environmental Modelling and Assessment 14, pp. 1-16. doi: 10.1007/s10666-008-9179-x.

Vafeidis, A. T., R. J. Nicholls, L. McFadden, R. S. J. Tol, J. Hinkel, T. Spencer, P. S. Grasho , G. Boot, and R. J. T. Klein (2008). A New Global Coastal Database for Impact and Vulnerability Analysis to Sea-Level Rise. In: Journal of Coastal Research 24.4, pp. 917-924. doi: 10.2112/ 06-0725.

Warren, R., S. de la Nava Santos, N. W. Arnell, M. Bane, T. Barker, C. Barton, R. Ford, H.-M. Fussel, R. K. S. Hankin, J. Hinkel, R. Klein, C. Linstead, J. Kohler, T. D. Mitchell, T. J. Osborn, H. Pan, S. C. B. Raper, G. Riley, H. J. Schellnhuber, S. Winne, et al. (2008). Erratum to “Development and Illustrative Outputs of the Community Integrated Assessment System (CIAS) and a Multi-Institutional Modular Integrated Assessment Approach for Modelling Climate Change” [Environ Model Softw 23(5) (2008) 592-610]. In: Environmental Modelling & Software 23.9, pp. 1215-1216. doi: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2007.09.015.