Mobilising Private Finance for Coastal Adaptation

The role of private finance in meeting adaptation infrastructure investment needs has been widely emphasised in climate policy debates. This new paper Mobilising private finance for coastal adaptation: a literature review in WIREs Climate Change reviews the scientific literature on the issue. The paper thus provides a perspective from the current literature on the questions of what promotes private investment in coastal adaptation and how can public actors’ interest in adaptation be aligned with private investor interests. Read more

The Role of Sustainable Investment in Climate Policy

Reaching the Sustainable Development Goals requires a fundamental socio-economic transformation accompanied by substantial investment in low-carbon infrastructure. Such a sustainability transition represents a non-marginal change, driven by behavioral factors and systemic interactions.
However, typical economic models used to assess a sustainability transition focus on marginal changes around a local optimum, which—by construction—lead to negative effects. Thus, these models do not allow evaluating a sustainability transition that might have substantial positive effects. This paper examines which mechanisms need to be included in a standard computable general equilibrium model to overcome these limitations and to give a more comprehensive view of the effects of climate change mitigation.

Weblink to the paper: http://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/9/12/2221

Ideals, practices, and future prospects of stakeholder involvement in sustainability science

This paper recently published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences evaluates current stakeholder involvement (SI) practices in science through a web-based survey among scholars and researchers engaged in sustainability or transition research. It substantiates previous conceptual work with evidence from practice by building on four ideal types of SI in science. The results give an interesting overview of the varied landscape of SI in sustainability science, ranging from the kinds of topics scientists work on with stakeholders, over scientific trade-offs that arise in the field, to improvements scientists wish for. Furthermore, the authors describe a discrepancy between scientists’ ideals and practices when working with stakeholders. On the conceptual level, the data reflect that the democratic type of SI is the predominant one concerning questions on the understanding of science, the main goal, the stage of involvement in the research process, and the science–policy interface. The fact that respondents expressed agreement to several types shows they are guided by multiple and partly conflicting ideals when working with stakeholders. We thus conclude that more conceptual exchange between practitioners, as well as more qualitative research on the concepts behind practices, is needed to better understand the stakeholder–scientist nexus.

Weblink to the paper: http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2017/11/20/1706085114.short

A climate stress-test of the financial system

An article, published in the journal “Nature Climate Change” on March 27th 2017. The authors, Stefano Battiston, Antoine Mandel, Irene Monasterolo, Franziska Schütze and Gabriele Visentin, have developed a “climate stress-test” of the financial system. The analysis looks beyond the fossil fuel and utility sector, by including energy-intensive sectors as well as indirect effects, and it differentiates between different types of investor.

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A Green Investment Impulse for Europe – 12 Recommendations for Green Growth and Successful Energy Transition

The transformations in various sectors required for the energy transition pose major challenges to political, economic and civil society actors: business models need to be reoriented and new technologies developed or implemented. Sustainable decarbonisation, which requires the success of the energy transition, also requires high levels of public and private investment which is difficult in times of weak economic growth in Europe. At the same time, there are opportunities for companies to engage in new markets with green business models. In addition, new players are emerging, for example due to digitization processes. In the course of a changed actor landscape, new possibilities for cooperation are being created that can enable green growth and simultaneously support the energy transition. Read more

Adaptation requires overcoming social conflicts

A Perspective article, published by the Global Climate Forum in the journal Nature Climate Change, highlights that overcoming social conflicts associated to shared resources will be key in adapting to the impacts of climate change. The article shows that decades of research on the commons, resources belonging to or affecting entire communities and most well-known through the work of Nobel Prize winning economist Elinor Ostrom, has accumulated promising ways forward for societies to overcome such conflicts. Read more

A Green Corridor for Europe – Connecting the EU and the Balkans

The history of Europe is strongly and often dramatically interwoven with that of the Balkans. Presently, the nexus between Europe and the Balkans is acquiring new relevance due to sluggish growth and rising regional disparities across Europe, to diverging national interests exacerbated by the migrant crisis, and to the prospect of the Chinese “one belt, one road” initiative reaching South-East Europe. This report investigates the possibility of a Green Corridor linking Europe and the Balkans through a multimodal infrastructure for the transport of people, goods, energy and information. As a first step, the present background paper looks at the Western Balkans in this perspective. We show that this region is faced with enormous development challenges, including a population whose skills hardly match the needs and opportunities of the present world economy, a very low, sometimes even negative savings rate, weak and sometimes dysfunctional institutions, and more. We then show that infrastructure investments are badly needed in the Western Balkans, be it for transport of people and goods, of information and of electricity. Next, we survey the considerable toolbox that the EU has developed to intensify cooperation with this part of the Balkans. Against this background, two things become quite clear. First, the Green Corridor idea looks both necessary and feasible. And second, to really make a difference, this kind of infrastructure investment can and should target the greater Balkans, including not only the Western Balkans, but also Romania, Bulgaria and Greece. Along these lines, it can offer the Western Balkans a badly needed future of stability and prosperity.

Weblink to the report: https://globalclimateforum.org/fileadmin/ecf-documents/pdf/Microsoft_Word_-_Green_Corridor_Study_GCF.docx.pdf

Investment-oriented climate policy: An opportunity for Europe

GCF Report

This study shows that an investment-oriented climate policy based on credible climate goals can overcome the increasingly threatening stagnation of the European economy. Since other strategies to tackle the crisis are noticeably losing their plausibility, a constructive debate on this issue is urgently needed. Read more

The systemic risk of a late and sudden transition

New working paper in ESRB report

Is the international financial system at risk, if policy and markets react too late and too abruptly to climate change? A report, published yesterday by the European Systemic Risk Board (ESRB) “Too late, too sudden: Transition to a low-carbon economy and systemic risk” tries to find answers to this question.

Earlier analyses of the British Central Bank and the G20 Financial Stability Board have already raised this issue. In parallel, the “divestment” movement, which calls for the withdrawal of public and private funds from coal, oil and gas companies has further gained momentum worldwide. Read more

A Toolbox for Integrated Risk Assessment

Climate and energy policy are faced with the challenge of having to deal with interrelated uncertainties. In risk research, such uncertainties are referred to as integrated risks. In this context, the concept of risk is neutral in value and includes both positive futures (known in technical jargon as upside risks) and negative futures (downside risks). The focus of risk research is in particular on possible synergy effects between risks as well as questions on how to make sense of such synergies and which institutional structures are suitable for this purpose. Integrated Risk Governance is the research field in which these questions are dealt with. A key product of our research is the Integrated Risk Toolbox, which we designed for the BMBF-funded research project “Investment and the Energy Transition”. It entails different methods that can help to assess integrated risks such as Bayesian Risk Management (BRM) or stakeholder-based science approaches.

Weblink to the toolbox: https://globalclimateforum.org/fileadmin/ecf-documents/pdf/Integrated_Risk_Toolbox_31.3.2015.pdf