OBFA-TRANSFORM Working Paper No. 4: Rethinking Currency Internationalisation. Rethinking Currency Internationalisation. Offshore Money Creation and the EU’s Monetary Governance

Jens van ‘t Klooster and Steffen Murau

Internationalisation of the euro has for decades eluded EU policymakers. In this article, we develop a novel explanation of the subordinate position of the single currency. To this end, we build on the state of the art in International Political Economy (IPE) scholarship and develop a new conceptual framework for currency internationalisation. We argue that internationalising a currency requires actively fostering the offshore creation of private credit money denominated in the currency. By approaching internationalisation as an entirely market-driven process, EU policymakers have neglected offshore monetary governance. This has discouraged rather than incentivised the expansion of offshore euro creation and thereby undermined the objective of euro internationalisation. We use our conceptual framework to study the failure to recognize the importance of offshore euro creation in fostering cross-border value chains, the prohibitive provision of international lender of last resort facilities for offshore euros, as well as the undersupply of euro-denominated safe assets. Our new account of currency internationalisation emphasizes the crucial role of the state in successful internationalisation, in particular for fostering the offshore creation of private credit money denominated in its currency.

van ‘t Klooster, Jens and Murau, Steffen, Rethinking Currency Internationalisation. Offshore Money Creation and the EU’s Monetary Governance (January 31, 2025). OBFA-TRANSFORM Working Paper No. 4-EN

The OBFA-TRANSFORM Working Paper Series publishes ongoing research output by the group that applies the Monetary Architecture framework and the OBFA concept on various contemporary and historical subjects.

Green Macro-Financial Governance in the European Monetary Architecture. Assessing the Capacity to Finance the Net-Zero Transition (Competition and Change)

Andrei Guter-Sandu, Armin Haas and Steffen Murau

The European Green Transition requires massive financing efforts, with estimates of EUR 620bn EUR annually, and the headwinds are substantial. Central banks seem overstretched and busy tightening to combat inflation; treasuries are subject to austerity-inducing fiscal rules; and banking systems are afflicted by non-performing loans, fragmentation, and risk aversion. We employ the Monetary Architecture framework to analyze the EU’s monetary and financial system as a constantly evolving hierarchical web of interlocking balance sheets and study its capacity to find “elasticity space” to meet the financing challenge. To this end, we draw on a four-step scheme for Green macro-financial governance along the financial cycle of balance sheet expansion, funding, and final contraction. We find that, first, Europe’s monetary architecture still has ample elasticity space to provide a green initial expansion due to its developed ecosystem of national, subnational, and supranational off-balance-sheet fiscal agencies. Second, as mechanisms to consciously organize the distribution of long-term debt instruments across different segments are absent, its capacity to provide long-term funding is limited. Third, institutional transformation in the last two decades has greatly improved the capacity of the European monetary architecture to counteract financial instability by providing emergency elasticity. Fourth, the capacity of the European monetary architecture to manage a final contraction of balance sheets is limited, which is a general quandary in modern credit money systems. Our analysis points to the need for further investigations into techniques for monetary architectures to manage long-term funding and balance sheet contractions.

Guter-Sandu, Andrei, Armin Haas, and Steffen Murau (2024) Green Macro-Financial Governance in the European Monetary Architecture. Assessing the Capacity to Finance the Net-Zero Transition, Competition and Change, online first, doi: 10.1177/10245294241275103.

OBFA-TRANSFORM

OBFA-TRANSFORM Working Paper No. 3: Schrödinger’s Off-Balance-Sheet Fiscal Agency. The Recovery and Resilience Facility and the Limits to Incremental Fiscal Integration in Europe

Friederike Reimer, Andrei Guter-Sandu, Armin Haas, and Steffen Murau

In the summer of 1931, Germany faced the nadir of the Great Depression. After the Machtergreifung of the Nazis in 1933, Hjalmar Schacht was appointed president of the Reichsbank and invented the “Mefo operation” to circumvent the Reichsbank’s legal constraints for credit expansion and finance German rearmament against the terms of the Treaty of Versailles. Mefo stands for “Metallurgische Forschungsgesellschaft”, a letterbox company set up by five German blue-chip companies and operated by staff from the Reichsbank and the military. Endowed with an equity of 1 million Reichsmark, Mefo was the debtor of commercial bills amounting to 12 billion Reichsmark. Despite its historical significance, the Mefo operation is still insufficiently theorised from a monetary theory perspective and is often explained away through the myth of “financial wizardry”. We approach the Mefo operation through the prism of the Monetary Architecture framework and perceive the Mefo company as an off-balance-sheet fiscal agency introduced to finance re-armament as a politically desired large-scale transformation of capital stock. We divide the Mefo operation into three distinct periods—the covert monetary financing stage (July 1933 to February 1936), the shadow money stage (February 1936 to March 1938), and the consolidation and war finance stage (April 1938 to May 1945)—and use balance sheet methodology to re-construct the underlying financial mechanics. On the one hand, we provide transactional balance sheets for an idealised depiction of flows and sketch stocks via snapshots of the monetary architecture as webs of interlocking balance sheets. On the other hand, we discuss how expansion, funding, backstopping, and contraction was planned ex ante and played out ex post. We find that against Schacht’s original plan, the Mefo bills ended up on the Reichsbank balance sheet where they were permanently funded until the collapse of German state structures in May 1945. We connect our balance sheet analysis to quantitative data of the Mefo company and the wider macro-financial environment in order to draw conclusions about the significance of the Mefo operation for the financial expansion after 1931.

Reimer, Friederike and Guter-Sandu, Andrei and Haas, Armin and Murau, Steffen (2024), Schrödinger’s Off-Balance-Sheet Fiscal Agency. The Recovery and Resilience Facility and the Limits to Incremental Fiscal Integration in Europe. OBFA-TRANSFORM Working Paper No. 3-EN

The OBFA-TRANSFORM Working Paper Series publishes ongoing research output by the group that applies the Monetary Architecture framework and the OBFA concept on various contemporary and historical subjects.

OBFA-TRANSFORM Working Paper No. 2: The Mefo Operation. A Macro-Financial Analysis of Camouflaged Sovereign Borrowing through Off-Balance-Sheet Fiscal Agencies, 1933-1945

Armin Haas, Friederike Reimer, Andrei Guter-Sandu and Steffen Murau

In the summer of 1931, Germany faced the nadir of the Great Depression. After the Machtergreifung of the Nazis in 1933, Hjalmar Schacht was appointed president of the Reichsbank and invented the “Mefo operation” to circumvent the Reichsbank’s legal constraints for credit expansion and finance German rearmament against the terms of the Treaty of Versailles. Mefo stands for “Metallurgische Forschungsgesellschaft”, a letterbox company set up by five German blue-chip companies and operated by staff from the Reichsbank and the military. Endowed with an equity of 1 million Reichsmark, Mefo was the debtor of commercial bills amounting to 12 billion Reichsmark. Despite its historical significance, the Mefo operation is still insufficiently theorised from a monetary theory perspective and is often explained away through the myth of “financial wizardry”. We approach the Mefo operation through the prism of the Monetary Architecture framework and perceive the Mefo company as an off-balance-sheet fiscal agency introduced to finance re-armament as a politically desired large-scale transformation of capital stock. We divide the Mefo operation into three distinct periods—the covert monetary financing stage (July 1933 to February 1936), the shadow money stage (February 1936 to March 1938), and the consolidation and war finance stage (April 1938 to May 1945)—and use balance sheet methodology to re-construct the underlying financial mechanics. On the one hand, we provide transactional balance sheets for an idealised depiction of flows and sketch stocks via snapshots of the monetary architecture as webs of interlocking balance sheets. On the other hand, we discuss how expansion, funding, backstopping, and contraction was planned ex ante and played out ex post. We find that against Schacht’s original plan, the Mefo bills ended up on the Reichsbank balance sheet where they were permanently funded until the collapse of German state structures in May 1945. We connect our balance sheet analysis to quantitative data of the Mefo company and the wider macro-financial environment in order to draw conclusions about the significance of the Mefo operation for the financial expansion after 1931.

 

Haas, Armin and Reimer, Friederike and Guter-Sandu, Andrei and Murau, Steffen, ‘The Mefo Operation. A Macro-Financial Analysis of Camouflaged Sovereign Borrowing through Off-Balance-Sheet Fiscal Agencies’, 1933-1945 (August 18, 2024). OBFA-TRANSFORM Working Paper No. 2-EN
(German version soon available)

The OBFA-TRANSFORM Working Paper Series publishes ongoing research output by the group that applies the Monetary Architecture framework and the OBFA concept on various contemporary and historical subjects.

OBFA-TRANSFORM Working Paper No. 1: State Finance Beyond the Core Budget. Off-Balance-Sheet Fiscal Agencies in Germany’s Fiscal Ecosystem

Gregor Laudage, Armin Haas, Andrei Guter-Sandu, and Steffen Murau

The state as a fiscal actor is commonly perceived to be a unitary entity that interacts with the wider financial system via its core budget operated by the treasury which generates inflows via taxes and outflows through government spending. However, an emerging literature places increasing emphasis on off-balance-sheet fiscal agencies (OBFAs)—financial entities that are separate from the treasury but carry out, on behalf of the state, activities that could also be run via the core budget, and often receive explicit or implicit fiscal backstops. This gives rise to a ‘fiscal ecosystem’ of national and sub-national treasuries and OBFAs that is different in each country, historically specific, and inherently opaque. Fiscal ecosystems are subject to constant transformation that is driven by political, economic, and legal concerns, with ample path dependencies. In this article, we use Germany as a case study to develop a methodology that combines scholarship in law and political economy to categorise and empirically map its contemporary fiscal ecosystem. Throughout its turbulent history, Germany has developed a highly complex web of OBFAs across various layers of its federal system. Their number ranges in the tens of thousands, possibly close to a hundred thousand. We place them in a coordinate system and depict their proximity or distance to the core budget by drawing on their legal status, revenue model, and characteristics of their issued debt (if there is any). Moreover, we carve out the conditions under which OBFAs are subject to Germany’s constitutional debt brake and the EU fiscal rules. If and how OBFAs are affected by debt brakes has been notoriously opaque but is a matter of great political salience since in November 2023 Germany’s constitutional court objected to the financial treatment of special funds (Sondervermögen), which created a budgetary crisis and a spending freeze.

Laudage, Gregor and Haas, Armin and Guter-Sandu, Andrei and Murau, Steffen (2024), State Finance Beyond the Core Budget. Off-Balance-Sheet Fiscal Agencies in Germany’s Fiscal Ecosystem. OBFA-TRANSFORM Working Paper No. 1-EN

 

The OBFA-TRANSFORM Working Paper Series publishes ongoing research output by the group that applies the Monetary Architecture framework and the OBFA concept on various contemporary and historical subjects.

(Deutsche Version)

Staatsfinanzen jenseits des Kernhaushalts. Bilanzexterne Fiskalagenturen im deutschen fiskalischen Ökosystem

Der Begriff der staatlichen Fiskalpolitik bezieht sich gemeinhin auf Einnahmen und Ausgaben, die über den staatlichen Kernhaushalt laufen. Dieser wird typischerweise vom Finanzministerium eines Staates verwaltet. In der wissenschaftlichen Literatur wird demgegenüber zunehmend die Bedeutung von ‚bilanzexternen Fiskalagenturen‘ (off-balance-sheet fiscal agencies, OBFAs) betont. Dies sind Institutionen, die im Namen des Staates finanzielle Aktivitäten durchführen, die zwar grundsätzlich über den Kernhaushalt laufen könnten, aber in der Praxis vom Kernhaushalt getrennt sind. Häufig erhalten bilanzexterne Fiskalagenturen dafür explizite oder implizite Absicherungen oder Garantien durch den Kernhaushalt. Daraus ergibt sich ein komplexes ‚fiskalisches Ökosystem‘ aus Kernhaushalten und bilanzexternen Fiskalagenturen, das aus historischen Gründen in jedem Land anders aussieht und häufig so unübersichtlich ist, dass es sich einer genauen Analyse entzieht. Fiskalische Ökosysteme unterliegt einem ständigen Wandlungsprozess, der durch politische, wirtschaftliche und rechtliche Erwägungen bestimmt wird und zahlreiche Pfadabhängigkeiten aufweist. In diesem Aufsatz verwenden wir Deutschland als Fallstudie, um eine interdisziplinäre Methodik zu entwickeln, die Rechtswissenschaft und politische Ökonomie kombiniert und es so erlaubt, das gegenwärtige fiskalische Ökosystem konzeptionell zu erfassen und empirisch abzubilden. Im Laufe seiner turbulenten Geschichte hat Deutschland auf den verschiedenen Ebenen seines föderalen Systems ein komplexes Netz an bilanzexternen Fiskalagenturen ausgeprägt. Nach unseren Schätzungen beläuft sich deren Anzahl auf mehrere Zehntausend, möglicherweise liegt sie sogar in der Nähe von Hunderttausend. Wir ordnen sie in ein Koordinatensystem ein, das es erlaubt, ihre Nähe oder Distanz zum staatlichen Kernhaushalt darzustellen. Dabei berücksichtigen wir die rechtliche Stellung, das Einnahmemodell sowie die Verschuldungsmöglichkeiten der jeweiligen Institution. Darüber hinaus zeigen wir auf, inwiefern bilanzexterne Fiskalagenturen der im Grundgesetz verankerten Schuldenbremse und den fiskalischen Regeln der EU unterworfen sind. Die Frage nach dem Zusammenhang von bilanzexternen Fiskalagenturen und der Schuldenbremse ist von großer politischer Bedeutung. So beanstandete etwa das Bundesverfassungsgericht im November 2023 die Nutzung eines bestimmten Sondervermögens, was zu einer Haushaltskrise und einem staatlichen Ausgabenstopp führte.

Laudage, Gregor and Haas, Armin and Guter-Sandu, Andrei and Murau, Steffen (2024), Staatsfinanzen jenseits des Kernhaushalts. Bilanzexterne Fiskalagenturen im deutschen fiskalischen Ökosystem. OBFA-TRANSFORM Working Paper Nr. 1-DE

Forging Monetary Unification through Novation: The TARGET System and the Politics of Central Banking in Europe (Socio-Economic Review)

Steffen Murau and Matteo Giordano

When the European Monetary Union became effective in January 1999, the accounting treatment for claims and obligations which the Eurosystem’s National Central Banks (NCBs) incur against each other in the ‘Trans-European Automated Real-Time Gross Express Transfer’ (TARGET) system remained unspecified. Only later in 1999, the Governing Council of the European Central Bank (ECB) decided that these claims and obligations should be shifted to the ECB’s balance sheet as a central counterparty—a process called ‘novation’. This ex-post decision completed monetary unification by uniquely ‘stitching together’ NCBs’ balance sheets while profoundly transforming the role of the ECB’s balance sheet. First, novation centralised it at the Eurosystem’s apex, which had not been politically feasible ex ante. Secondly, novation repurposed it into a multilateral mechanism to provide automatic, unlimited funding for cross-border payment imbalances. Thirdly, novation allowed monetary technocrats to operationalise it as an autonomous ‘firefighting’ balance sheet for unconventional monetary policy.

Murau, Steffen, and Matteo Giordano (2024) Forging Monetary Unification through Novation. The TARGET System and the Politics of Central Banking in Europe, Socio-Economic Review 22 (3), pp. 1283-1312, doi: 10.1093/ser/mwad067

 

Shadow Money in the History of Monetary Thought (Review of Political Economy)

Steffen Murau and Tobias Pforr

Following the 2007–9 Global Financial Crisis, scholars have conceptualized the credit instruments that lay at its center as ‘shadow money’. As this perspective seems to contradict many established monetary theories, we situate the shadow money concept in the history of monetary thought and clarify the assumptions under which it is meaningful. First, the shadow money concept stems from a market-based credit theory of money which rejects notions that money is primarily chosen by the state and that credit is logically subordinate to money. We explain the associated implications by mobilizing the ‘Matrix of Monetary Thought’ as an analytical tool. Second, the shadow money concept transcends the orthodox three-functions-theory of money because it prioritizes the unit-of-account function as the basis to operate payment systems. This is a theoretical position that stands in the tradition of Henry Thornton. Third, the shadow money concept assumes an inherent hierarchy within monetary systems with a spectrum of monetary forms at the edge of which definitions of moneyness get blurry. The defining feature for credit money is the existence of a par relationship with the ex ante defined unit of account. We conclude that conceptually ambiguous shadow money forms have existed across multiple historical eras.

Murau, Steffen, and Tobias Pforr (2023) Shadow Money in the History of Monetary Thought, Review of Political Economy, online first, doi: 10.1080/09538259.2023.2272140.

OBFA-TRANSFORM

Towards a Public Sustainable Finance Paradigm for the Green Transition (Finance and Society)

Phillip Golka, Steffen Murau and Jan-Erik Thie

Sustainable finance is often discussed as a solution to the climate crisis, but its impacts are limited and its discourse focuses on mobilising private investments through public de-risking, without considering direct government action. We argue that this is due to an implicit reference to mainstream economic theory assuming that an active state leads to time inconsistency problems and crowding-out effects. However, these assumptions have been sufficiently refuted as public investments may actually crowd-in private capital. We therefore propose a paradigm shift towards what we call Public Sustainable Finance, aimed at empowering the role of the state in the green transition on the discursive, policy, and political economy levels. Studying the case of Germany, we show how Public Sustainable Finance can be introduced despite tight fiscal regimes. To this end, we propose that the Climate- and Transformation Fund be given its own borrowing powers. By borrowing an average of 23 billion euros annually from 2024 to 2030, the existing financing gap that has been exacerbated following the November 2023 constitutional court ruling can be closed, enabling a more rapid and effective green transition.

Golka, Philipp, Steffen Murau and Jan-Erik Thie (2024) Towards a Public Sustainable Finance Paradigm for the Green Transition, Finance and Society 10 (1), pp. 38-50, doi: 10.1017/fas.2023.15.

Monetary Architecture and the Green Transition (Environment and Planning A: Economy and Space)

Steffen Murau, Armin Haas and Andrei Guter-Sandu

How to finance the Green Transition toward net-zero carbon emissions remains an open question. The literature either operates within a market-failure paradigm that calls for carbon taxes or cap-and-trade to help markets correct themselves, or via war finance analogies that offer a “triad” of state intervention possibilities: taxation, treasury borrowing, and central bank money creation. These frameworks often lack a thorough conceptualization of endogenous credit money creation and disregard the systemic and procedural dimensions of financing the Green Transition. We propose “Monetary Architecture” as a more comprehensive framework that perceives the monetary and financial system as a constantly evolving and historically specific hierarchical web of interlocking balance sheets. Using the United States as a case study, we stress the importance of a systemic financing dimension that uses all available elasticity space in the monetary architecture while considering a division of labor between firefighting balance sheets such as central banks or treasuries and workhorse balance sheets such as off-balance-sheet fiscal agencies or shadow banks. Procedurally, public workhorses should provide an initial balance sheet expansion and crowd in the rest of the monetary architecture, notably shadow banks, for long-term funding. Firefighters should prevent systemic instability and manage a possible final contraction.

Murau, Steffen, Armin Haas, and Andrei Guter-Sandu (2024) Monetary Architecture and the Green Transition, Environment and Planning A: Economy and Space 56 (2), pp. 382-401, doi: 10.1177/0308518X231197296.

OBFA-TRANSFORM

Rethinking Monetary Sovereignty: The Global Credit Money System and the State (Perspectives on Politics)

Steffen Murau and Jens van ‘t Klooster

We propose a new conception of monetary sovereignty that acknowledges the reality of today’s global credit money system. Today, the concept is predominantly used to denote states that issue and regulate their own currency. We reject that Westphalian understanding of monetary sovereignty. Instead, we propose a conception of effective monetary sovereignty that focuses on what states are actually able to do in the era of financial globalization. The conception fits the hybridity of the modern credit money system by acknowledging the crucial role not only of central bank money but also of money issued by regulated banks and unregulated shadow banks. These institutions often operate “offshore”, outside of a state’s legal jurisdiction, which makes monetary governance more difficult. Monetary sovereignty consists in the ability of states to effectively govern these different segments of the monetary system and thereby achieve their economic policy objectives.

Murau, Steffen, and Jens van ‘t Klooster (2023) Rethinking Monetary Sovereignty. The Global Credit Money System and the State, Perspectives on Politics 21(4), pp. 1319–1336, doi: 10.1017/S153759272200127X.

OBFA-TRANSFORM