PolicyOracle: Predicting Outcomes of Key Policy Indices

Your expert opinion on macroeconomic indicators considered by policy makers to shape policies in Europe? The SYMPHONY European research project (http://projectsymphony.eu/) implemented an online market simulation called PolicyOracle to monitor your expectation changes about key policy indices in real time. Participants are able to place bets on future prices of pivotal resources or future political events. By harvesting the crowd-intelligence provided by many informed individuals, policymakers are enabled to anticipate these predictions in their policy decisions. On top of that, you can learn about the expectations of your peers.   Read more

Simpol Project: Crowdsourcing for Transparency in the 2030 Climate and Energy Framework

Strongly influenced by lobbying activities, the EU took a step back on some of its climate targets within the 2030 framework for climate and energy policy. With the SIMPOL project, we are developing a new collaborative tool to identify the interests at stake in the complex negotiation process between different national- and EU institutions. You can help in creating a more complete picture of the organizations involved and their potential impact on the policy process by contributing to our crowdsourcing project. As a result, an interactive graph will enable you to explore and enrich the network of relevant stakeholders, their lobbying activities and other important attributes.

Contribute to our crowdsourcing project to make the invisible visible. Go to: http://finance4citizens.eu/cs2030

IPCC sea-level rise scenarios not fit for purpose for high-risk coastal areas

The sea-level rise scenarios of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) do not necessarily provide the right information for high-risk coastal decision-making and management, according to new research involving scientists from the Global Climate Forum in Berlin. Read more

Climate Finance and Sustainable Economic Recovery

published on Handelsblatt Online (September 23, 2014)
> www.handelsblatt.com/meinung/gastbeitraege/gastbeitrag-zum-klimagipfel-wie-gute-klimapolitik-die-konjunktur-anschieben-kann/10742108.html

by K. Toepfer, J-C. Hourcade, M. Aglietta, C. Jaeger

English version:
The day before this year’s UN General Assembly, September 23, its secretary general will host a UN climate summit in New York. President Obama will attend a meeting taking place in his country but key countries like China, India, Russia as well as the EU and Germany will not be represented by their top leaders. This is one more sign of the mismatch between dramatic rhetoric on global climate change and ineffective action in global climate policy. Read more

Climate change threatens to cause trillions in damage to world’s coasts, if coastal regions do not adapt to sea-level rise.

Coastal regions may face massive increases in damages from storm surge flooding over the course of the 21st century. According to a new study published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, global average storm surge damages could increase from about 10-40 billion USD per year today to up to 100,000 billion USD per year by the end of century, if no adaptation action is taken. The study lead by the Berlin-based think-tank Global Climate Forum (GCF) presents, for the first time, comprehensive global simulation results on future storm surge damages to buildings and infrastructure. Drastic increases in these damages are expected, on one hand, due to rising sea-levels and, on the other hand, due to population and economic growth. Asia and Africa may be particularly hard hit because of their rapidly growing coastal mega-cities, such as Shanghai, Manila or Lagos. Read more

Blog on Global Systems Science online

Our blog on Global Systems Science is online.

Current Topics:

  • Towards a Global Systems Science of Urbanisation
  • Energy transition, climate change, and financial crisis: zooming in and zooming out

Out now: COMPLEXITY ECONOMICS – Complexity, Choices & Crises

The aim of this new journal is to enhance the knowledge and the know-how required for responsible action in the global economy of the 21st century. The global economy is likely to induce and experience transformations that we currently can hardly imagine. It will be characterized by complex networks combining local, national and global linkages, and by surprising interactions between the economy and its political, social and biophysical environments. In view of these new possibilities, the journal wants to preserve the insights developed since the days of Adam Smith in modes of analysis based on the conceptual device of representative agents. It will emphasize the opportunities provided by newer approaches to dynamic social networks, where actions are attributed to heterogeneous agents ranging from physical persons to multinational organizations, and where rationality has more aspects than the classical logical coherence. In view of this perspective, multi-agent modeling of complex economic networks will be an important focus of the journal. Read more

ECF-TG set up research lines on sustainable transport for Bergen at the European Mobility Week 2010

September 16-22, 2010
Bergen, Norway

The ECF-Transport Group met with occasion of the European Mobility Week 2010 in Bergen. The goal of the meeting was to set up a work plan to go ahead with the transport strategy agreed last June at the Bybanen Conference. The ECF-TG met at the City Council representatives of the Bergen mobility sector, among other groups of interest.

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Bybanen Konferanse (Norway)

European Climate Forum-Transport Group
June 21-22, 2010
Bergen, Norway

Bergen’s Bybanen works!

Bergen’s first light rail system was inaugurated on June 22nd by Queen Sonja of Norway, following a two-day conference with over 80 representatives from the private and public sector. The ECF-Transport Group, represented by the environmental researcher Aida Abdulah, talked about the challenges of sustainable mobility for Bergen and introduced the ECF-TG new project on stakeholder dialogs on transport.
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