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Focus: Adaptive, cross-border sediment management to protect the Wadden Sea from sea-level rise.
GCF role: How formal and informal institutions shape conflict and acceptance in sediment decisions.
Focus: How off-balance-sheet fiscal agencies financed wars, reconstruction and large transformations – and how they can finance the green transition.
Approach: Historical case studies, theory and policy proposals for green transition finance.
Focus: A co-created socio-economic assessment of future climate risk across European countries, sectors and households.
GCF role: Coastal impacts and adaptation decision-making with the DIVA model.
Focus: Sustainable, commercial aquaculture of seaweed and mussels in offshore wind farms of the North and Baltic Seas.
GCF role: Governance of multi-use offshore areas.
Focus: New formats for citizens' deliberation on the European Green Deal, tested in around 13 countries.
GCF role: Research partner in a consortium of 16 research institutes and civil society networks.
Focus: A holistic decision-making framework for EU climate and biodiversity policy, combining economic and biophysical models.
GCF role: Coastal risk and adaptation modelling with DIVA.
Focus: An international symposia series on how coastal societies adapt to sea-level rise – and why cultures of protection, insurance and retreat differ.
Format: Interdisciplinary symposia with case studies from all world regions.
Focus: A multi-level climate adaptation framework tested with 15 solutions in 7 demo sites across all EU biogeographical regions.
GCF role: Partner in a consortium of 32 organisations from 9 countries.
Focus: Large-scale coastal restoration as low-carbon adaptation, demonstrated at nine pilots in all EU regional seas.
GCF role: Funding and financing arrangements for nature-based coastal solutions.
Focus: Better marine protection in the North and Baltic Seas – from monitoring to acceptable conservation measures.
GCF role: Acceptance and effectiveness of conservation concepts and governance structures.
Focus: Clearing an estimated 1.6 million tonnes of WWII munitions from German seas – safely and with public support.
GCF role: Advocacy analysis, a multi-criteria analysis of dump sites and research on public acceptance.
Focus: An open web platform on coastal flood risk and adaptation for decision makers across Europe.
GCF role: Coastal risk scenarios and adaptation analysis with the DIVA model.
Focus: A standardized computational platform for agent-based Decision Theatre models that scales from laptops to HPC.
Output: Concept paper, R prototype (version 0), tutorial and technical documentation.
Focus: Compound flood events at the German Baltic coast – when storm surges coincide with other extremes – and what they mean for flood risk and adaptation decisions.
GCF role: Impact assessment and decision analysis of flexible flood-risk strategies.
Focus: Robust projections of sea-level rise from ice sheets and glaciers down to local coasts – with a focus on low-probability, high-impact scenarios.
GCF role: Coastal impact assessment with the DIVA model and climate services for the Maldives.
Focus: Ecosystem-supporting coastal protection for the German Baltic Sea – such as dune reinforcement, salt marshes or managed retreat.
GCF role: Project coordination; social acceptance, governance and economics of the strategies.
Focus: Why coal and carbon-intensive regions tip into clean-energy transitions – and how to enable positive tipping points.
Scope: 20 regional case studies across Europe plus partners in Australia, Canada and Indonesia.
Focus: Why some regions embrace the energy transition while others reject it – Berlin vs. the rural district of Spree-Neiße.
Output: Evidence and decision support for a socially just, region-specific Energiewende.
Focus: Science communication: citizens and experts explore a sustainable mobility transition in interactive Decision Theatres.
Format: Five Decision Theatre events in Essen, Berlin and online, based on the MoTMo model.
Focus: A participatory method where stakeholders explore simulations of possible futures on large screens and discuss policy options.
GCF role: Developed a lean, mobile and online version based on multi-agent models.
Focus: ISIpedia, an open encyclopedia of consistent, policy-relevant climate-impact simulations, co-designed with users.
GCF role: Coastal impact simulations and metrics with the DIVA model.
Focus: Coastal climate services that combine sea-level projections, impacts and adaptation options with the needs of decision makers.
GCF role: Led the climate services for the Maldives and contributed to the global service.
Focus: A co-designed, downscaled assessment of the risks and costs of climate change in Europe, including tipping points.
GCF role: Coastal risk and adaptation costs with the DIVA model.
Focus: System-analytical research on the German energy transition across heat, power and mobility.
GCF role: Co-lead of Work Package 9 “Digitization and ICTs” together with Fraunhofer IWES.
Focus: Integrated assessment of extreme sea levels, flood risk and adaptation options for the entire German Baltic Sea coast, including high-end sea-level rise.
GCF role: A fast flood model and adaptation pathways based on robust decision-making.
Focus: Linking high-performance modelling and transition experiments to foster transformations towards sustainability.
GCF role: Partner of Leuphana University Lüneburg and Arizona State University.
Focus: Where can green growth deliver on its promises? Win-win strategies that reconcile climate action with jobs and prosperity.
GCF role: Project coordination; research on coastal adaptation finance and governance.
Focus: High-performance computing for Global Systems Science – data and simulations for global challenges.
GCF role: Pilot study on the diffusion of green growth, e.g. sustainable mobility.
Focus: Making the financial system serve society – financial stability and long-term sustainable investment.
Output: Quantitative tools to assess systemic risk and sustainable finance policies.
Focus: How Europe's vocational education can prepare people for the jobs of a low-carbon economy.
GCF role: High-level stakeholder workshops and dialogues together with Germanwatch.
Focus: Agent-based macroeconomic tools that let policymakers test measures against economic and financial crises – fed with the expectations of citizens and stakeholders.
Output: A policy platform combining an agent-based model, social-media mining and information markets.
Focus: Why investment in the German Energiewende stalls – and how re-coordinating the expectations of industry, finance and civil society could unlock a low-carbon growth path.
GCF role: Stakeholder dialogues, workshops and thesis papers together with Germanwatch.
Focus: Impacts of high-end sea-level rise and the effectiveness and barriers of coastal adaptation, from local to global scale.
Key finding: Protecting cities pays off economically – but finance, equity and social conflict decide whether adaptation happens.
Focus: Network science and big data for modelling financial and climate policy – and for a greener, more stable financial system.
GCF role: Research on climate-finance networks and green transition policies.
Focus: Options for Romania and Bulgaria to contribute to a 40 % EU emission reduction by 2030.
Key finding: Energy efficiency is a particularly promising lever in both countries.
Focus: A European-Russian centre, hosted by the Nansen Centre in St. Petersburg, to strengthen joint research on environmental and climate change in the Arctic and Sub-Arctic.
Output: Long-term scientific cooperation between 11 institutions from Russia and the EU.
Focus: A global programme giving direction and coherence to research on climate vulnerability, impacts and adaptation (VIA).
GCF role: Lead authorship of the PROVIA Guidance on choosing methods for VIA assessment (2013).
Focus: Community-driven intercomparison of global impact models under common climate and socio-economic scenarios.
Key finding: Without adaptation, up to 600 million people could be affected by coastal flooding in 2100 (DIVA model).
Focus: Integrating climate variability and change into coastal zone management in 11 Mediterranean countries.
GCF role: High-resolution coastal data and flood and erosion analysis for Croatia and Tunisia.
Focus: An open-source macroeconomic module to assess costs and benefits of German energy and climate policies.
Innovation: Multi-agent model with multiple equilibria to identify win-win climate policies.
Focus: Impacts of 2 °C global warming on water, energy, coasts, health and other sectors across Europe and vulnerable regions.
GCF role: Sea-level rise impacts with the DIVA model, with a special focus on the Maldives.
Focus: Methods and a common platform to help European decision makers assess climate impacts, vulnerability and the costs of adaptation.
GCF role: Led the work package on a diagnostic framework for choosing adaptation approaches.
Focus: Building a research programme on global systems in ongoing dialogue with decision makers.
Format: Open network of workshops, working papers and conferences.
Focus: Can Europe grow, cut emissions and reduce unemployment at the same time? A rebuilt EU climate-economy model with investor expectations and learning-by-doing.
Key finding: A 30 % target could add up to 6 million jobs and 0.6 % growth per year by 2020.
Focus: How an ecological investment programme could help Germany escape the growth crisis.
Key finding: Unemployment could fall below two million by 2020.
Focus: How research on complex global problems – climate change, energy security, sustainable cities, inequality – can be discussed between science and politics.
Format: Structured science-policy dialogues.
Focus: Assessment of the German government's integrated energy and climate programme and its economic implications.
Output: Study "Investment for a climate-friendly Germany" (2008).
Focus: Natural and socio-economic consequences of climate change in the Mediterranean region.
Output: Regional Assessment of Climate Change in the Mediterranean (2013).
Focus: Climate-related risks and opportunities in insurance, asset management and lending.
Focus area: Mainstreaming climate risks into asset management.
Focus: An open ecosystem of tools and global data for coastal impact and adaptation modelling.
GCF role: Develops and maintains DIVACoast.jl and the global DIVA dataset.
Focus: Agent-based model simulating private mobility demand in Germany up to 2035.
Output: Scenario tool used in the Decision Theatre on sustainable mobility.
Focus: Carbon risks in the German economy and a carbon stress test for German financial institutions.
GCF role: Consortium partner in the UBA-commissioned study (with Ecofys, University of Oxford, Triple A Risk Finance, University of Zurich and Germanwatch).
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