Entries by Konstantin Winter

GCF’s Decision Theater in the media II

Short film on GCF’s Mobile Decision Theater event @ HKW, 28 November 2018 IASS, as the coordination office of the Kopernikus Project Energy Transition Navigation System (ENavi // more here), has launched a short film on GCF’s activities in the context of the Forum’s Mobile Decision Theater event held at Haus der Kulturen der Welt […]

An agent-based modeling for housing prices with bounded rationality

This study proposes an agent-based model to investigate major stakeholders behaviors in the housing market. The proposed model mimics the heterogeneous behaviors of individual buyers and sellers in a housing market considering bounded rationality. The simulation results of case study in Shanghai are robust and reproduce stylized facts including as volatility clustering, absence of autocorrelations, […]

GCF’s Decision Theater in the media

Tagesspiegel author Susanne Ehlerding gives a thoughtful insight on what climate models can and cannot do, and how the Decision Theater of GCF contributes to developing models interactively between scientists and stakeholders so that models can serve as practically useful guidance aids.

New paper by K. Lucas, O. Renn, C. Jaeger and S. Yang: “Systemic Risks: A Homomorphic Approach on the Basis of Complexity Science”

Klaus Lucas, Ortwin Renn, Carlo Jaeger and Saini Yang build on a domain-overarching definition of systemic risks by highlighting crucial properties that distinguish them from conventional risks and plain disasters. They place emphasis on the role of complexity science as a basis for unifying the phenomena of systemic risks in widely different domains. Published in […]

New paper by K. Lucas, O. Renn and C. Jaeger on “Systemic Risks: Theory and Mathematical Modeling”

Klaus Lucas (Institute of Technical Thermodynamics), Ortwin Renn (Institute of Advanced Sustainability Studies) and Carlo Jaeger (GCF) give a review of how insights form complexity science can be applied to the domain of systemic risks. They have identified four major properties of systemic risks: they are (1) transboundary in nature, (2) highly interconnected and intertwined […]

Big Dive 7

GCF took part in the 7th edition of the BIGDIVE data science program from June 18th to July 13th 2018 in Turin, Italy, organized by the TOP-IX consortium. In a two-day workshop, Sarah Wolf and Andreas Geiges introduced agent-based modelling and synthetic populations as a tool for digital decision support in dialogues with stakeholders, focusing […]