Entries by Konstantin Winter

Meeting User Needs for Sea Level Rise Information: A Decision Analysis Perspective

Despite widespread efforts to implement climate services, there is almost no literature that systematically analyzes users’ needs. This paper addresses this gap by applying a decision analysis perspective to identify what kind of mean sea level rise (SLR) information is needed for local coastal adaptation decisions. We first characterize these decisions, then identify suitable decision […]

Global Sustainability Strategy Forum 2019

From Knowledge to Action: Recommendations to Advance the Transformation Towards Sustainability The first meeting of the project Global Sustainability Strategy Forum (GSSF), organised by the IASS and Arizona State University, and sponsored by the Volkswagen Foundation, brought together fifteen renowned experts in the field of sustainable development from around the world, among them GCF chairperson […]

GCF’s Decision Theater in the media II

Short film on GCF’s Mobile Decision Theater event @ HKW, 28 November 2018 IASS, as the coordination office of the Kopernikus Project Energy Transition Navigation System (ENavi // more here), has launched a short film on GCF’s activities in the context of the Forum’s Mobile Decision Theater event held at Haus der Kulturen der Welt […]

Leverage Points for Sustainable Mobility

The Global Climate Forum and Leuphana University set up the mobile Decision Theater, which runs with simulations from GCF’s mobility model MoTMo, to discuss the transition to a more sustainable mobility in Germany.

Updated Version of GCF Working Paper “Framing 1.5°C” on SSRN

[by S. Wolf, C. Jaeger, J. Mielke, F. Schuetze, R. Rosen] || An updated version of GCF Working Paper 2 / 2017 “Framing 1.5°C – Turning an investment challenge into a green growth opportunity” that reflects the current IPCC Special Report on 1.5°C is now published on SSRN under: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3324509

Uncertainty representations of mean sea-level change: a telephone game?

For the long-term management of coastal flood risks, investment and policy strategies need to be developed in the light of the full range of uncertainties associated with mean sea-level rise (SLR). This, however, remains a challenge due to deep uncertainties involved in SLR assessments, many ways of representing uncertainties, and a lack of common terminology […]

An agent-based modeling for housing prices with bounded rationality

This study proposes an agent-based model to investigate major stakeholders behaviors in the housing market. The proposed model mimics the heterogeneous behaviors of individual buyers and sellers in a housing market considering bounded rationality. The simulation results of case study in Shanghai are robust and reproduce stylized facts including as volatility clustering, absence of autocorrelations, […]

GCF’s Decision Theater in the media

Tagesspiegel author Susanne Ehlerding gives a thoughtful insight on what climate models can and cannot do, and how the Decision Theater of GCF contributes to developing models interactively between scientists and stakeholders so that models can serve as practically useful guidance aids.