For the long-term management of coastal flood risks, investment and policy strategies need to be developed in the light of the full range of uncertainties associated with mean sea-level rise (SLR). This, however, remains a challenge due to deep uncertainties involved in SLR assessments, many ways of representing uncertainties, and a lack of common terminology […]
This study proposes an agent-based model to investigate major stakeholders behaviors in the housing market. The proposed model mimics the heterogeneous behaviors of individual buyers and sellers in a housing market considering bounded rationality. The simulation results of case study in Shanghai are robust and reproduce stylized facts including as volatility clustering, absence of autocorrelations, […]
Wie ein Planspiel simuliert das Decision Theater von #ENavi ForscherInnen interaktiv Auswirkungen politischer Maßnahmen. Zum Beispiel bei der Diskussion mit Politikern, Wissenschaftlern und Verkehrsexperten zu nachhaltiger Mobilität. @TspBackgroundEK @SueEhlerding berichtet. pic.twitter.com/FN9SD5es0w — ENavi (@ENavi_de) January 4, 2019 Tagesspiegel author Susanne Ehlerding gives a thoughtful insight on what climate models can and cannot do, and […]
Klaus Lucas, Ortwin Renn, Carlo Jaeger and Saini Yang build on a domain-overarching definition of systemic risks by highlighting crucial properties that distinguish them from conventional risks and plain disasters. They place emphasis on the role of complexity science as a basis for unifying the phenomena of systemic risks in widely different domains. Published in […]
Klaus Lucas (Institute of Technical Thermodynamics), Ortwin Renn (Institute of Advanced Sustainability Studies) and Carlo Jaeger (GCF) give a review of how insights form complexity science can be applied to the domain of systemic risks. They have identified four major properties of systemic risks: they are (1) transboundary in nature, (2) highly interconnected and intertwined […]
With an invited talk by Sarah Wolf, GCF will be present at the Conference on Complex Systems 2018, Thessaloniki, Greece, 23.-28.9.2018.
GCF took part in the 7th edition of the BIGDIVE data science program from June 18th to July 13th 2018 in Turin, Italy, organized by the TOP-IX consortium. In a two-day workshop, Sarah Wolf and Andreas Geiges introduced agent-based modelling and synthetic populations as a tool for digital decision support in dialogues with stakeholders, focusing […]
New York and Brussels, 17 July 2018 – Access to digital connectivity and services is directly related to improvements in healthcare, education quality, fight to hunger and other major global challenges. This correlation has been proved, for the first time, in a comprehensive statistical analysis by Accenture Strategy for GeSI, published today in the pioneering […]
Ortwin Renn, Klaus Lucas, Armin Haas & Carlo C. Jaeger Things are different today: the challenge of global systemic risks Journal of Risk Research, DOI: 10.1080/13669877.2017.1409252 (2017)
The Digital Future Science Match is an international computer science conference held every spring in Berlin. The Digital Future Science Match has a distinguished record in bringing together many speakers with excellent scientific credentials. On 14 May 2018, up to 55 leading academics were presenting the latest research findings and their visions for a digital […]