“Meeting User Needs for Sea Level Rise Information: A Decision Analysis Perspective” Despite widespread efforts to implement climate services, there is almost no literature that systematically analyzes users’ needs. This paper addresses this gap by applying a decision analysis perspective to identify what kind of mean sea level rise (SLR) information is needed for local […]
From Knowledge to Action: Recommendations to Advance the Transformation Towards Sustainability The first meeting of the project Global Sustainability Strategy Forum (GSSF), organised by the IASS and Arizona State University, and sponsored by the Volkswagen Foundation, brought together fifteen renowned experts in the field of sustainable development from around the world, among them GCF chairperson […]
Short film on GCF’s Mobile Decision Theater event @ HKW, 28 November 2018 IASS, as the coordination office of the Kopernikus Project Energy Transition Navigation System (ENavi // more here), has launched a short film on GCF’s activities in the context of the Forum’s Mobile Decision Theater event held at Haus der Kulturen der Welt […]
An updated version of GCF Working Paper 2 / 2017 “Framing 1.5°C – Turning an investment challenge into a green growth opportunity” that reflects the current IPCC Special Report on 1.5°C is now published on SSRN under: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3324509
For the long-term management of coastal flood risks, investment and policy strategies need to be developed in the light of the full range of uncertainties associated with mean sea-level rise (SLR). This, however, remains a challenge due to deep uncertainties involved in SLR assessments, many ways of representing uncertainties, and a lack of common terminology […]
This study proposes an agent-based model to investigate major stakeholders behaviors in the housing market. The proposed model mimics the heterogeneous behaviors of individual buyers and sellers in a housing market considering bounded rationality. The simulation results of case study in Shanghai are robust and reproduce stylized facts including as volatility clustering, absence of autocorrelations, […]
Wie ein Planspiel simuliert das Decision Theater von #ENavi ForscherInnen interaktiv Auswirkungen politischer Maßnahmen. Zum Beispiel bei der Diskussion mit Politikern, Wissenschaftlern und Verkehrsexperten zu nachhaltiger Mobilität. @TspBackgroundEK @SueEhlerding berichtet. pic.twitter.com/FN9SD5es0w — ENavi (@ENavi_de) January 4, 2019 Tagesspiegel author Susanne Ehlerding gives a thoughtful insight on what climate models can and cannot do, and […]
Klaus Lucas, Ortwin Renn, Carlo Jaeger and Saini Yang build on a domain-overarching definition of systemic risks by highlighting crucial properties that distinguish them from conventional risks and plain disasters. They place emphasis on the role of complexity science as a basis for unifying the phenomena of systemic risks in widely different domains. Published in […]
Klaus Lucas (Institute of Technical Thermodynamics), Ortwin Renn (Institute of Advanced Sustainability Studies) and Carlo Jaeger (GCF) give a review of how insights form complexity science can be applied to the domain of systemic risks. They have identified four major properties of systemic risks: they are (1) transboundary in nature, (2) highly interconnected and intertwined […]